“A popular President is unlikely to be threatened with impeachment. Second is your relationship with your party—how strongly are they connected to you? Third is your relationship with Congress, and fourth is the nature of whatever the misconduct may be. far the most valble lessons about impeachment come from Richard Nixon. In 1974, Nixon resigned shortly before he could be impeached, but his misjudgments—political, psychological, and legal—have illuminated the risks to Presidents ever since. In 1972, Nixon’s White House oversaw the bugging of the Democratic National Committee offices at the Watergate complex and the ensuing covep. That was illegal and uhical, but it did not grantee Nixon’s downfall, which came about because of two critical mistakes. First, when the scandal emerged, the President underestimated the threat. “There were any number of steps that could have made it go away, ” Evan Thomas, the author of “ Being Nixon , ” told me. “They could have cleaned house and fired people. ” But Nixon assumed that his supporters would never believe the accusations.
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